Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne preview and prediction
The match
Dunkerque host Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Marcel Tribut. Dunkerque are 10th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Saint Etienne sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dunkerque's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Clermont Foot 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Montpellier 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.2 for Dunkerque and 2.5 for Saint Etienne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dunkerque 14%, draw 24%, Saint Etienne 63%.
Safer route: Saint Etienne or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Saint Etienne to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saint Etienne or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dunkerque 1–2 Saint Etienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dunkerque14%fair 7.33 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.75
Saint Etienne63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
3.70Expected goals
1.20Dunkerque xG
2.50Saint Etienne xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Dunkerque 1.2 – 2.5 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Dunkerque – last 6
DLLDWD
4 Sep
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Nancy
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Reims
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–2
W
1 Aug
@ KV Mechelen
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWWW
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunkerque and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Dunkerque have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Saint Etienne 63%.
How many goals will there be in Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Dunkerque 1–2 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne?
Dunkerque vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel Tribut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
