Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuingamp to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Sochaux vs Guingamp preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Sochaux take on Guingamp on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Bonal. Sochaux are 16th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Guingamp sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sochaux's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with RED Star FC 93 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Guingamp's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Boulogne 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Sochaux and 1.1 for Guingamp. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sochaux 36%, draw 24%, Guingamp 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sochaux 1–1 Guingamp. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sochaux36%fair 2.81 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Guingamp40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
2.11Expected goals
1.01Sochaux xG
1.10Guingamp xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.0 – 1.1 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guingamp to win✗
40%
2.48
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guingamp / FT Guingamp✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.48
–
Form
Sochaux – last 6
DLDLLW
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Saint Etienne
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Dijon
0–3
L
22 Jul
@ Metz
1–4
L
18 Jul
vs Grenoble
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 6
WLDLLL
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Metz
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Rennes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Guingamp.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sochaux vs Guingamp?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guingamp 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Guingamp?
Sochaux vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bonal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
