Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.35Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAU to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79
PAU vs Nancy preview and prediction
The match
PAU host Nancy in the Ligue 2 on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Nouste Camp. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Nancy sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
PAU's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Dijon 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nancy's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Montpellier 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for PAU and 0.8 for Nancy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 45%, draw 22%, Nancy 33%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PAU 0–0 Nancy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU45%fair 2.22 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Nancy33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
1.73Expected goals
0.97PAU xG
0.76Nancy xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: PAU 1.0 – 0.8 Nancy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✗
45%
2.22
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.35 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.79
–
Form
PAU – last 6
WLLLLW
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
0–4
L
21 Jul
@ Espanyol
0–4
L
11 Jul
@ Real Sociedad
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nancy – last 6
LDDDDW
14 Aug
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Boulogne
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Dijon
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Epinal
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Annecy
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Haguenau
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Nancy.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win PAU vs Nancy?
On our numbers PAU have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nancy 33%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Nancy?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Nancy?
Our predicted score is PAU 0–0 Nancy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Nancy?
PAU vs Nancy (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
