Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nantes to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceNantes or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Nantes vs Rodez preview and prediction
The match
Nantes host Rodez in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stade de la Beaujoire. Nantes are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Rodez sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nantes's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Laval 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rodez's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Annecy 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Rodez arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Nantes and 0.7 for Rodez. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nantes 64%, draw 24%, Rodez 12%.
Safer route: Nantes or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Nantes to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nantes or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nantes 1–0 Rodez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nantes64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.75
Rodez12%fair 8.07 · @4.40
2.62Expected goals
1.89Nantes xG
0.73Rodez xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.9 – 0.7 Rodez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Nantes or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Half-time result
Nantes ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Nantes – last 6
LLWLDL
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs La Roche VF
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Lorient
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rodez – last 6
LWLDWW
14 Aug
@ Annecy
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Laval
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Montpellier
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Toulouse
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Nimes
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Cannes
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Rodez.
Our pick is Nantes or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nantes vs Rodez?
On our numbers Nantes have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rodez 12%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Rodez?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Rodez?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–0 Rodez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Rodez?
Nantes vs Rodez (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
