Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetz to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceMetz or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Metz vs Laval preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Metz take on Laval on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stade Saint Symphorien. Metz are 7th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Laval sit 18th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Metz's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Grenoble 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Laval's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Nantes 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Metz and 0.8 for Laval. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metz 63%, draw 21%, Laval 16%.
Safer route: Metz or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Metz to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Metz or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Metz 1–0 Laval. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.45
Laval16%fair 6.30 · @4.20
2.56Expected goals
1.80Metz xG
0.76Laval xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Metz 1.8 – 0.8 Laval expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
63%
1.59
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Metz or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Metz ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Metz – last 6
DWLWWW
14 Aug
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Sochaux
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Seraing United
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Laval – last 6
WLDWLW
14 Aug
vs Nantes
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Rodez
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Granville
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
22 Jul
vs Avranches
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Laval.
Our pick is Metz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Metz vs Laval?
On our numbers Metz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Laval 16%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Laval?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Laval?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–0 Laval, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Laval?
Metz vs Laval (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
