Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Groningen to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGroningen to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam preview and prediction
The match
Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 16:45 (WAT) at Euroborg. Groningen are 9th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Groningen's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Emmen 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Sparta Rotterdam's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Fortuna Sittard 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.8 for Groningen and 1.5 for Sparta Rotterdam. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Groningen to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Groningen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groningen66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw15%fair 6.89 · @3.90
Sparta Rotterdam20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
4.30Expected goals
2.80Groningen xG
1.50Sparta Rotterdam xG
70%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.8 – 1.5 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.53
–
Form
Groningen – last 6
LDLWWD
29 Oct
vs Emmen
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Ajax
2–5
L
11 Oct
@ Excelsior
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
DLWDLL
28 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Ajax
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Willem II
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ GO Ahead Eagles
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Heerenveen
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our pick is Groningen to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
On our numbers Groningen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sparta Rotterdam 20%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
