Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTwente to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceTwente or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Excelsior vs Twente preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees Excelsior take on Twente on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Woudestein. Excelsior are 15th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Twente sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Excelsior's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat MVV 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Twente's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Twente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Excelsior and 2.3 for Twente. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Excelsior 13%, draw 20%, Twente 68%.
Safer route: Twente or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Twente to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Excelsior 0–2 Twente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excelsior13%fair 7.76 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @4.20
Twente68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
3.20Expected goals
0.91Excelsior xG
2.29Twente xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Excelsior 0.9 – 2.3 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Excelsior – last 6
WLLLDL
28 Oct
@ MVV
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
16 Oct
@ Heerenveen
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Groningen
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ Ajax
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Twente – last 6
WWLWDW
25 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Lincoln Red Imps FC
4–1
W
18 Oct
vs Utrecht
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FC Thun
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior and Twente.
Our pick is Twente to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
On our numbers Excelsior have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Twente 68%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Twente?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Twente?
Our predicted score is Excelsior 0–2 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Excelsior vs Twente?
Excelsior vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
