Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓75% · @1.07
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II preview and prediction
The match
PSV Eindhoven host Willem II in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Philips Stadion. PSV Eindhoven are 1st with 26 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Willem II sit 18th on 3 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Feyenoord 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Willem II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Helmond Sport 4–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 3.5 conceded.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 3.0 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.1 for Willem II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: PSV Eindhoven 75%, draw 15%, Willem II 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Willem II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSV Eindhoven75%fair 1.33 · @1.07
Draw15%fair 6.59 · @13.00
Willem II10%fair 10.39 · @23.00
4.15Expected goals
3.04PSV Eindhoven xG
1.11Willem II xG
63%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–16%
4–06%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 3.0 – 1.1 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
75%
1.33
1.07
Double chance
PSV Eindhoven or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
53%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Form
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
DWLLWL
25 Oct
vs Feyenoord
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ FC Porto
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ ADO Den Haag
1–2
L
13 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Heerenveen
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
WLLLLL
27 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
4–3
W
24 Oct
vs Cambuur
1–6
L
17 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Willem II 10%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II?
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
