NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
NEC Nijmegen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees NEC Nijmegen take on Fortuna Sittard on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Goffertstadion. NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Fortuna Sittard sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
NEC Nijmegen's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Levski Sofia 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fortuna Sittard's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Twente 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fortuna Sittard arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.1 for Fortuna Sittard. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEC Nijmegen 64%, draw 24%, Fortuna Sittard 12%.
Safer route: NEC Nijmegen or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEC Nijmegen or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEC Nijmegen64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.00
Fortuna Sittard12%fair 8.18 · @4.40
3.50Expected goals
2.43NEC Nijmegen xG
1.07Fortuna Sittard xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 2.4 – 1.1 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
DDDLLD
15 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ajax
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Juventus
0–5
L
12 Sep
@ Cambuur
0–3
L
8 Sep
vs Excelsior
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
DWWLWW
10 Oct
vs Twente
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Genk
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Willem II
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ajax
1–5
L
6 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortuna Sittard 12%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
