Ajax host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Johan Cruijff Arena. Ajax are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while PSV Eindhoven sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ajax's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Telstar 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Utrecht 6–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.1 for Ajax and 2.2 for PSV Eindhoven. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ajax39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.80
PSV Eindhoven40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
4.29Expected goals
2.13Ajax xG
2.16PSV Eindhoven xG
72%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: Ajax 2.1 – 2.2 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.68
–
Form
Ajax – last 6
WWWDDW
30 Aug
@ Telstar
4–0
W
27 Aug
vs FC Sion
5–3
W
20 Aug
@ FC Sion
4–2
W
16 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
13 Aug
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ PEC Zwolle
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
WWWDLW
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
23 Aug
vs Groningen
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Excelsior
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
28 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers Ajax have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PSV Eindhoven 40%.
How many goals will there be in Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
