Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✓63% · @1.64
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees PEC Zwolle take on NEC Nijmegen on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). PEC Zwolle are 13th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while NEC Nijmegen sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PEC Zwolle's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Heerenveen 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
NEC Nijmegen's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to BodoGlimt 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for PEC Zwolle and 2.3 for NEC Nijmegen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PEC Zwolle 14%, draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 63%.
Safer route: NEC Nijmegen or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEC Nijmegen or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1–2 NEC Nijmegen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PEC Zwolle14%fair 7.01 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.30
NEC Nijmegen63%fair 1.58 · @1.64
3.29Expected goals
1.03PEC Zwolle xG
2.26NEC Nijmegen xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: PEC Zwolle 1.0 – 2.3 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✓
63%
1.58
1.64
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✓
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
PEC Zwolle – last 6
WLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Heerenveen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Twente
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Ajax
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Hannover 96
0–3
L
26 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Cercle Brugge
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
LLWDLD
25 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Willem II
4–1
W
11 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Telstar
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen.
What is the prediction for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers PEC Zwolle have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NEC Nijmegen 63%.
How many goals will there be in PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our predicted score is PEC Zwolle 1–2 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen?
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
