Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Eredivisie · Netherlands · Stadion Woudestein
2–1
FT

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam preview and prediction

The match

Sparta Rotterdam travel to Stadion Woudestein in the Eredivisie on Saturday 29 August (15:30 WAT) to face Excelsior. Excelsior are 15th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Excelsior's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to PSV Eindhoven 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.

Sparta Rotterdam's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Utrecht 3–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Excelsior and 1.7 for Sparta Rotterdam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Excelsior 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Excelsior38%fair 2.62 · @2.36
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.75
Sparta Rotterdam40%fair 2.47 · @2.62
3.37Expected goals
1.66Excelsior xG
1.71Sparta Rotterdam xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Excelsior 1.7 – 1.7 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗40%2.472.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.45
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.721.57
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sparta Rotterdam / FT Sparta Rotterdam ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.97–

Form

Excelsior – last 6

LWWWWW
15 Augvs PSV Eindhoven1–2L
7 Aug@ Cambuur4–0W
1 Aug@ De Graafschap5–1W
24 Jul@ Heracles5–3W
18 Jul@ NAC Breda3–1W
11 Jul@ Dordrecht2–0W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sparta Rotterdam – last 6

DWLDDL
22 Augvs Utrecht3–3D
14 Aug@ Telstar3–1W
9 Augvs Feyenoord0–1L
1 Augvs MSV Duisburg0–0D
28 Julvs Asteras Tripolis1–1D
25 Jul@ Zulte Waregem2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior2–3
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

On our numbers Excelsior have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sparta Rotterdam 40%.

How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our predicted score is Excelsior 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.