Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.61 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.61Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeerenveen to win ✗64% · @1.61
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
Heerenveen host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Heerenveen are 6th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top half), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Heerenveen's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Ajax 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
PEC Zwolle's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Twente 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Heerenveen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Heerenveen 4–2 PEC Zwolle.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Heerenveen and 1.0 for PEC Zwolle. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Heerenveen to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.61, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heerenveen 2–0 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heerenveen64%fair 1.56 · @1.61
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.33
PEC Zwolle16%fair 6.07 · @4.55
3.06Expected goals
2.11Heerenveen xG
0.96PEC Zwolle xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Heerenveen 2.1 – 1.0 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Heerenveen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and PEC Zwolle 16%.
How many goals will there be in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Heerenveen 2–0 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
