Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
AZ Alkmaar to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.61 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.61Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓67% · @1.61
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar preview and prediction
The match
AZ Alkmaar travel to Fortuna Sittard Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 22 August (15:30 WAT) to face Fortuna Sittard. Fortuna Sittard are 7th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while AZ Alkmaar sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fortuna Sittard's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Cambuur 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Utrecht 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Fortuna Sittard and 2.4 for AZ Alkmaar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortuna Sittard 14%, draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar 67%.
Safer route: AZ Alkmaar or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AZ Alkmaar to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.61, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Sittard14%fair 6.91 · @4.65
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.30
AZ Alkmaar67%fair 1.50 · @1.61
3.52Expected goals
1.08Fortuna Sittard xG
2.44AZ Alkmaar xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.1 – 2.4 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
67%
1.50
1.61 ▲
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Half-time result
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
WDWLLW
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Genk
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WWWWWD
15 Aug
@ Utrecht
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Genk
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ Zulte Waregem
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AZ Alkmaar 67%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
