Value bet: Groningen to win @ 2.36 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGroningen to win ✓49% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.99
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen preview and prediction
The match
Groningen travel to Bingoal Stadium in the Eredivisie on Sunday 16 August (11:15 WAT) to face ADO Den Haag. ADO Den Haag are 17th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Groningen sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ADO Den Haag's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to AZ Alkmaar 0–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Groningen's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Utrecht 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for ADO Den Haag and 1.6 for Groningen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ADO Den Haag 31%, draw 20%, Groningen 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Groningen to win at 2.36 – 49% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Groningen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ADO Den Haag31%fair 3.25 · @2.64
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Groningen49%fair 2.04 · @2.36
2.76Expected goals
1.18ADO Den Haag xG
1.58Groningen xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 1.2 – 1.6 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✓
49%
2.04
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✓
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
ADO Den Haag – last 6
LDWWWW
8 Aug
@ AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Lommel United
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
4 Jul
@ Laakkwartier
5–1
W
24 Apr
@ Den Bosch
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Groningen – last 6
WWDLLW
9 Aug
vs Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Volos NFC
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs FC Volendam
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs Emmen
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Groningen.
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Groningen 49%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 1–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs Groningen?
ADO Den Haag vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
