Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40
Roda vs Jong AZ preview and prediction
The match
Roda host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Roda are 14th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong AZ sit 19th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Roda's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat De Graafschap 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Jong AZ's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Helmond Sport 5–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Roda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Jong AZ 2–0 Roda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Roda and 1.2 for Jong AZ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roda 60%, draw 19%, Jong AZ 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roda to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Roda 2–1 Jong AZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roda60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.00
Jong AZ20%fair 4.90 · @4.00
3.46Expected goals
2.23Roda xG
1.23Jong AZ xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Roda 2.2 – 1.2 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Roda to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Roda vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Roda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong AZ 20%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Roda 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Jong AZ?
Roda vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
