FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
FC Volendam to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Volendam to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap preview and prediction
The match
De Graafschap travel to Kras Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October (20:00 WAT) to face FC Volendam. FC Volendam are 11th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while De Graafschap sit 1st on 0 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Volendam's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to FC Eindhoven 3–5 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
De Graafschap's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Roda 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for FC Volendam and 1.4 for De Graafschap. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Volendam 62%, draw 12%, De Graafschap 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Volendam to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Volendam 2–1 De Graafschap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Volendam62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw12%fair 8.32 · @3.90
De Graafschap25%fair 3.92 · @3.10
3.75Expected goals
2.36FC Volendam xG
1.39De Graafschap xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Volendam 2.4 – 1.4 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Volendam to win✗
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
FC Volendam ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Volendam / FT FC Volendam✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
FC Volendam – last 6
LWDWLW
27 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
3–5
L
23 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
6–2
W
18 Oct
@ Waalwijk
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
LDLWDW
27 Oct
@ Roda
0–1
L
23 Oct
vs Waalwijk
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ Jong Ajax
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Den Bosch
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is FC Volendam to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 12% and De Graafschap 25%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is FC Volendam 2–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
