Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Roda to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65
Jong Utrecht vs Roda preview and prediction
The match
Jong Utrecht host Roda in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch. Jong Utrecht are 20th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Roda sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Utrecht's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to De Graafschap 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Roda's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Jong PSV U21 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Jong Utrecht and 1.8 for Roda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Utrecht 25%, draw 17%, Roda 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Roda to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Jong Utrecht 1–1 Roda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Utrecht25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @3.60
Roda58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
2.85Expected goals
1.06Jong Utrecht xG
1.79Roda xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
1–36%
From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 1.1 – 1.8 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Jong Utrecht – last 6
LLWWDL
9 Oct
@ De Graafschap
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
1–3
L
14 Sep
vs Jong Ajax
6–1
W
11 Sep
@ NAC Breda
3–2
W
7 Sep
vs FC Eindhoven
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ Jong AZ
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
DLWDWD
9 Oct
vs Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ VVV Venlo
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Waalwijk
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Jong Ajax
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Vitesse
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ MVV
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Utrecht and Roda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Roda 58%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
Jong Utrecht vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
