Jong Ajax host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Sportpark De Toekomst. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while De Graafschap sit 1st on 0 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
De Graafschap's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Jong Utrecht 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
De Graafschap arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.7 for Jong Ajax and 2.0 for De Graafschap. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 71%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 35%, draw 18%, De Graafschap 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–2 De Graafschap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.00
De Graafschap47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
3.70Expected goals
1.69Jong Ajax xG
2.01De Graafschap xG
71%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.7 – 2.0 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
47%
2.12
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Jong Ajax – last 6
LDLLWD
9 Oct
vs VVV Venlo
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs Roda
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Jong Utrecht
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Waalwijk
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
WDWLWL
9 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Den Bosch
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Emmen
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Heracles
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 18% and De Graafschap 47%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
