Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Emmen to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmmen to win ✓51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.14
Jong Ajax vs Emmen preview and prediction
The match
Emmen travel to Sportpark De Toekomst in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 17 August (19:00 WAT) to face Jong Ajax. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Emmen sit 6th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Dordrecht 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Emmen's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Roda 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Emmen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Emmen 0–0 Jong Ajax.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Jong Ajax and 1.6 for Emmen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 30%, draw 19%, Emmen 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Emmen to win at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–1 Emmen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.85
Emmen51%fair 1.97 · @2.20
2.65Expected goals
1.10Jong Ajax xG
1.55Emmen xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.1 – 1.6 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Emmen 51%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
Jong Ajax vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
