Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Esbjerg to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsbjerg to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Esbjerg vs Hobro preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Esbjerg take on Hobro on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Blue Water Arena. Esbjerg are 10th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Hobro sit 7th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esbjerg's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Hvidovre 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hobro's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat AB Copenhagen 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hobro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Esbjerg and 1.1 for Hobro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esbjerg 56%, draw 19%, Hobro 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Esbjerg to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Esbjerg 1–1 Hobro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esbjerg56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.55
Hobro25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.79Esbjerg xG
1.10Hobro xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.8 – 1.1 Hobro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esbjerg to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esbjerg / FT Esbjerg✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Esbjerg – last 6
LWWDLL
9 Aug
@ Hvidovre
1–2
L
6 Aug
@ Bogense
6–0
W
1 Aug
@ Hillerød
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Kolding IF
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs FC Fredericia
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Mafra
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hobro – last 6
WLWLWW
8 Aug
vs AB Copenhagen
1–0
W
5 Aug
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–4
L
2 Aug
@ Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Aarhus Fremad
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Hamburger SV II
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Middelfart
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esbjerg and Hobro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Esbjerg vs Hobro?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hobro 25%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs Hobro?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs Hobro?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–1 Hobro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs Hobro?
Esbjerg vs Hobro (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
