Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Aarhus Fremad to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus Fremad to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad preview and prediction
The match
Hillerød host Aarhus Fremad in the 1. Division on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Helsingor Stadion. Hillerød are 8th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Aarhus Fremad sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hillerød's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Vejle 4–5 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Aarhus Fremad's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat HB Koge 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Aarhus Fremad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Hillerød and 1.8 for Aarhus Fremad. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Value angle: Aarhus Fremad to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hillerød 1–1 Aarhus Fremad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hillerød36%fair 2.78 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Aarhus Fremad41%fair 2.42 · @2.65
3.51Expected goals
1.69Hillerød xG
1.82Aarhus Fremad xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Hillerød 1.7 – 1.8 Aarhus Fremad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus Fremad to win✗
41%
2.42
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus Fremad / FT Aarhus Fremad✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.95
–
Form
Hillerød – last 6
LWLLLD
9 Aug
@ Vejle
4–5
L
6 Aug
@ Vaeggerlose
12–0
W
1 Aug
vs Esbjerg
2–3
L
24 Jul
@ Aalborg
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Lyngby
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Vejle
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aarhus Fremad – last 6
WWLWLW
8 Aug
vs HB Koge
3–1
W
4 Aug
@ Ringkøbing
4–0
W
31 Jul
vs Aalborg
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Hobro
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ Viborg
0–1
L
8 Jul
vs Silkeborg
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hillerød and Aarhus Fremad.
What is the prediction for Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
On our numbers Hillerød have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aarhus Fremad 41%.
How many goals will there be in Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our predicted score is Hillerød 1–1 Aarhus Fremad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Helsingor Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
