Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Cherno More Varna or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cherno More Varna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.66
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa preview and prediction
The match
Botev Vratsa travel to Ticha in the First League on Monday 2 November (16:00 WAT) to face Cherno More Varna. Cherno More Varna are 9th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Botev Vratsa sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cherno More Varna's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Septemvri Sofia 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Botev Vratsa's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Botev Vratsa 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Across their last 2 meetings Cherno More Varna have won 0, Botev Vratsa 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Cherno More Varna and 0.9 for Botev Vratsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Cherno More Varna or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Cherno More Varna to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cherno More Varna or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cherno More Varna 1–0 Botev Vratsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherno More Varna58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @2.90
Botev Vratsa20%fair 4.98 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.81Cherno More Varna xG
0.94Botev Vratsa xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.8 – 0.9 Botev Vratsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our pick is Cherno More Varna or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Vratsa 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–0 Botev Vratsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa?
Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa (First League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
