Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Arda Kardzhali take on Septemvri Sofia on Monday 2 November, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Arena Arda. Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Septemvri Sofia sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Levski Sofia 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Cherno More Varna 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Across their last 2 meetings Arda Kardzhali have won 1, Septemvri Sofia 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Arda Kardzhali and 1.0 for Septemvri Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arda Kardzhali 59%, draw 19%, Septemvri Sofia 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali59%fair 1.69 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.50
Septemvri Sofia22%fair 4.60 · @5.00
2.79Expected goals
1.82Arda Kardzhali xG
0.97Septemvri Sofia xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.8 – 1.0 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Septemvri Sofia 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
