Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia host Lokomotiv Sofia in the First League on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Arda Kardzhali 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Botev Plovdiv 2–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lokomotiv Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Across their last 2 meetings Septemvri Sofia have won 0, Lokomotiv Sofia 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.6 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 32%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Sofia 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Lokomotiv Sofia47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
2.85Expected goals
1.26Septemvri Sofia xG
1.59Lokomotiv Sofia xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 1.3 – 1.6 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Sofia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
