Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗64% · @1.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Botev Plovdiv take on Dunav Ruse on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 18:15 (WAT) at Stadion Hristo Botev. Botev Plovdiv are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Dunav Ruse sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Botev Plovdiv's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Sofia 5–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dunav Ruse's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Botev Plovdiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.9 for Dunav Ruse. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Dunav Ruse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Plovdiv64%fair 1.57 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @5.00
Dunav Ruse19%fair 5.39 · @6.50
2.95Expected goals
2.01Botev Plovdiv xG
0.94Dunav Ruse xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 2.0 – 0.9 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Half-time result
Botev Plovdiv ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Botev Plovdiv – last 6
WLWWWW
30 Oct
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
5–2
W
23 Oct
@ CSKA 1948
0–4
L
18 Oct
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4–0
W
14 Oct
vs Botev Vratsa
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Septemvri Sofia
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dunav Ruse – last 6
LWWWDL
31 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Spartak Varna
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Rilski Sportist
3–2
W
11 Oct
@ Septemvri Sofia
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Botev Vratsa
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dunav Ruse 19%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Dunav Ruse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse?
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse (First League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
