First League · Bulgaria · Bistritsa StadiumCSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia prediction & analysis
CSKA Sofia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: CSKA Sofia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CSKA 1948 1.0 – 2.0 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CSKA Sofia travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for CSKA 1948.
CSKA 1948 have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. CSKA Sofia have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 for CSKA 1948, 2.0 for CSKA Sofia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, CSKA 1948 have won 0, CSKA Sofia have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is CSKA Sofia or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, CSKA Sofia to win at 1.85 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CSKA Sofia to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | CSKA Sofia or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 10% | 9.74 | – |
Form
CSKA 1948 – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Slavia Sofia | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Dunav Ruse | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Levski Sofia | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Septemvri Sofia | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Cherno More Varna | 4–1 | W |
CSKA Sofia – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Lokomotiv Sofia | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Arda Kardzhali | 4–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Levski Sofia | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Spartak Varna | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Cherno More Varna | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 13 May 2026 | CSKA Sofia v CSKA 1948 | 1–1 |
| 8 May 2026 | CSKA 1948 v CSKA Sofia | 0–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia | 14 | +23 | 34 |
| 2 |  Levski Sofia | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 13 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 14 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Spartak Varna | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Cherno More Varna | 14 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Dunav Ruse | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Septemvri Sofia | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 |  Botev Vratsa | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | -11 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia?
Our pick is CSKA Sofia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia?
On our numbers CSKA 1948 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CSKA Sofia 61%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia?
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Bistritsa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.