Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Botev Plovdiv to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia host Botev Plovdiv in the First League on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Dragalevtsi Stadium,. Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Botev Plovdiv sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Ludogorets 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Botev Plovdiv's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.9 for Botev Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 19%, draw 20%, Botev Plovdiv 61%.
Safer route: Botev Plovdiv or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botev Plovdiv to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Botev Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia19%fair 5.18 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.30
Botev Plovdiv61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.78Expected goals
0.91Septemvri Sofia xG
1.87Botev Plovdiv xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.9 – 1.9 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Botev Plovdiv 61%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Dragalevtsi Stadium,.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
