Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
Cherno More Varna travel to Arena Arda in the First League on Saturday 19 September (17:00 WAT) to face Arda Kardzhali. Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cherno More Varna's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv Sofia 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Cherno More Varna 2–3 Arda Kardzhali. Across their last 3 meetings Arda Kardzhali have won 1, Cherno More Varna 0, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Arda Kardzhali and 1.0 for Cherno More Varna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Arda Kardzhali or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
Cherno More Varna14%fair 6.92 · @4.50
3.00Expected goals
2.04Arda Kardzhali xG
0.96Cherno More Varna xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 2.0 – 1.0 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cherno More Varna 14%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
