Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Botev Plovdiv or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botev Plovdiv to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
Botev Plovdiv host Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadion Hristo Botev. Botev Plovdiv are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Botev Plovdiv's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Arda Kardzhali 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Cherno More Varna 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Botev Plovdiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 Botev Plovdiv. Across their last 3 meetings Botev Plovdiv have won 0, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.6 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Botev Plovdiv to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botev Plovdiv or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Plovdiv65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Lokomotiv Plovdiv12%fair 8.49 · @4.20
2.44Expected goals
1.80Botev Plovdiv xG
0.64Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.8 – 0.6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 12%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
