First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Aleksandar ShalamanovSlavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna prediction & analysis
Slavia Sofia to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slavia Sofia 1.4 – 0.9 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Slavia Sofia hold the edge on home soil with a 51% chance of winning, against 26% for Spartak Varna.
Slavia Sofia have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Spartak Varna have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Slavia Sofia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.4 for Slavia Sofia, 0.9 for Spartak Varna). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Slavia Sofia have won 1, Spartak Varna have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Slavia Sofia to win at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Slavia Sofia to win ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia ✗ | 29% | 3.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.45 | – |
Form
Slavia Sofia – last 6
| 7 Sep | @ Dunav Ruse | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Levski Sofia | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Septemvri Sofia | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Ludogorets | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | @ Botev Vratsa | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 1–1 | D |
Spartak Varna – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs CSKA Sofia | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Ludogorets | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Levski Sofia | 0–6 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Septemvri Sofia | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | @ Botev Plovdiv | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Aug | vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 10 May 2026 | Spartak Varna v Slavia Sofia | 2–1 |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Slavia Sofia v Spartak Varna | 4–0 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia | 14 | +23 | 34 |
| 2 |  Levski Sofia | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 13 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 14 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Spartak Varna | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Slavia Sofia | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 |  Cherno More Varna | 14 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 |  Dunav Ruse | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Septemvri Sofia | 14 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 |  Botev Vratsa | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | -11 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Slavia Sofia to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Slavia Sofia have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Varna 26%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.