Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Ludogorets to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets to win ✓63% · @1.53
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv Sofia host Ludogorets in the First League on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Dunav Ruse 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ludogorets's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Spartak Varna 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ludogorets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Lokomotiv Sofia and 2.0 for Ludogorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Sofia 12%, draw 25%, Ludogorets 63%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ludogorets to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Sofia12%fair 8.06 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Ludogorets63%fair 1.60 · @1.53
2.77Expected goals
0.80Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.97Ludogorets xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 0.8 – 2.0 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
DLLDLD
31 Aug
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
17 Aug
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ludogorets – last 6
DDWWWD
30 Aug
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Botev Plovdiv
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Cherno More Varna
3–2
W
2 Aug
vs Botev Vratsa
2–1
W
30 Jul
vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Ludogorets.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ludogorets 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
