Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Lokomotiv Plovdiv take on Cherno More Varna on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to CSKA 1948 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Cherno More Varna's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Cherno More Varna 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Across their last 3 meetings Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 0, Cherno More Varna 2, with 1 draw and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.3 for Cherno More Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv37%fair 2.74 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Cherno More Varna38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
2.64Expected goals
1.31Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.33Cherno More Varna xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.3 – 1.3 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cherno More Varna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
