Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.08
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Spartak Varna take on Ludogorets on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Spartak Varna are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spartak Varna's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–6 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ludogorets's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Slavia Sofia 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ludogorets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Spartak Varna 1–5 Ludogorets.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Spartak Varna and 2.1 for Ludogorets. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Ludogorets to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spartak Varna 0–2 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Varna11%fair 9.44 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.70
Ludogorets67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
2.92Expected goals
0.78Spartak Varna xG
2.14Ludogorets xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 0.8 – 2.1 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ludogorets 67%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 0–2 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
