CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction

The match

Cherno More Varna travel to Balgarska Armiya Stadium in the First League on Sunday 30 August (19:15 WAT) to face CSKA Sofia. CSKA Sofia are 1st with 34 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

CSKA Sofia's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to OFI 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Cherno More Varna's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Dunav Ruse 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

CSKA Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for CSKA Sofia and 1.1 for Cherno More Varna. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: CSKA Sofia 63%, draw 21%, Cherno More Varna 17%.
• Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.95.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CSKA Sofia 2–1 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.