Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Arda Kardzhali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Arda Kardzhali to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18% · fair 5.71
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Lokomotiv Plovdiv take on Arda Kardzhali on Monday 24 August, kicking off at 19:15 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Dunav Ruse 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Sofia 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0 Arda Kardzhali. Across their last 4 meetings Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 3, Arda Kardzhali 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.6 for Arda Kardzhali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Safer route: Arda Kardzhali or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Arda Kardzhali to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arda Kardzhali or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv16%fair 6.32 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
2.20Expected goals
0.62Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.59Arda Kardzhali xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.6 – 1.6 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arda Kardzhali 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
