Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Botev Plovdiv or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Botev Plovdiv to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✗84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
Botev Vratsa host Botev Plovdiv in the First League on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Hristo Botev Stadium. Botev Vratsa are 13th with 10 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Botev Plovdiv sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Botev Vratsa's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Botev Plovdiv's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Ludogorets 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Botev Plovdiv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Botev Vratsa and 2.0 for Botev Plovdiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Botev Plovdiv to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botev Plovdiv or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Botev Vratsa 0–1 Botev Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Vratsa16%fair 6.43 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Botev Plovdiv63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
2.84Expected goals
0.87Botev Vratsa xG
1.97Botev Plovdiv xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 0.9 – 2.0 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✗
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Botev Plovdiv or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Botev Plovdiv ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Botev Vratsa – last 6
LLLLDW
16 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
0–5
L
10 Aug
vs Slavia Sofia
0–3
L
2 Aug
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
19 Jul
vs Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
10 Jul
vs Arda Kardzhali
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Botev Plovdiv – last 6
LWWLDW
15 Aug
@ Ludogorets
0–2
L
10 Aug
vs Spartak Varna
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cherno More Varna
1–0
W
27 Jul
@ CSKA Sofia
2–3
L
21 Jul
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Beroe
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Botev Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our pick is Botev Plovdiv or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botev Plovdiv 63%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 0–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
