Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Arda Kardzhali to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✓65% · @1.77
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to Arena Arda in the First League on Monday 17 August (19:15 WAT) to face Arda Kardzhali. Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Dunav Ruse 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to CSKA 1948 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Arda Kardzhali and 0.7 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arda Kardzhali 65%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv Sofia 12%.
Safer route: Arda Kardzhali or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arda Kardzhali to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali65%fair 1.53 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.45
Lokomotiv Sofia12%fair 8.23 · @4.10
2.49Expected goals
1.84Arda Kardzhali xG
0.65Lokomotiv Sofia xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.8 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✓
65%
1.53
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Arda Kardzhali ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.57
–
Form
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
WLWDLD
8 Aug
@ Dunav Ruse
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ CSKA 1948
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Septemvri Sofia
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Botev Vratsa
0–1
L
7 Jul
vs Beitar Jerusalem
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6
LDLDDD
8 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Levski Sofia
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ Botev Plovdiv
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Teuta Durrës
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Dukagjini
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Sofia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
