Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Arda Kardzhali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Arda Kardzhali to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceArda Kardzhali or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Septemvri Sofia take on Arda Kardzhali on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Vasil Levski National Stadium. Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Ludogorets 0–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Botev Vratsa 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Septemvri Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Septemvri Sofia 1–4 Arda Kardzhali.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.7 for Arda Kardzhali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 14%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 60%.
Safer route: Arda Kardzhali or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Arda Kardzhali to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arda Kardzhali or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia14%fair 6.97 · @3.65
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
2.38Expected goals
0.70Septemvri Sofia xG
1.68Arda Kardzhali xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.7 – 1.7 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arda Kardzhali 60%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Vasil Levski National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
