Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets to win ✓70% · @1.28
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets host Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Huvepharma Arena. Ludogorets are 3rd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ludogorets's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Teuta Durrës 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 6. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Rilski Sportist 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Ludogorets 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Ludogorets and 0.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ludogorets 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets70%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.75
Lokomotiv Plovdiv8%fair 12.13 · @8.80
2.95Expected goals
2.23Ludogorets xG
0.72Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
53%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 2.2 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
