The Liga MX sees Toluca take on Club Tijuana on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Club Tijuana sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Toluca's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Atletico San Luis 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Club Tijuana's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Puebla 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Toluca 1–0 Club Tijuana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Toluca and 0.8 for Club Tijuana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca 72%, draw 17%, Club Tijuana 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @5.50
Club Tijuana10%fair 9.81 · @8.50
3.09Expected goals
2.33Toluca xG
0.76Club Tijuana xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toluca 2.3 – 0.8 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Toluca to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Toluca have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Club Tijuana 10%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?
Toluca vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
