Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa preview and prediction
The match
Necaxa travel to Estadio Akron in the Liga MX on Wednesday 21 October (01:07 WAT) to face Guadalajara Chivas. Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Necaxa sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Tigres UANL 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Necaxa's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Atlas 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Necaxa 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Guadalajara Chivas and 0.8 for Necaxa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara Chivas to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Necaxa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara Chivas68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.60
Necaxa14%fair 7.37 · @7.00
2.96Expected goals
2.14Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.82Necaxa xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 2.1 – 0.8 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Necaxa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 01:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
