Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca to win ✗65% · @1.29
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis preview and prediction
The match
Atletico San Luis travel to Estadio Nemesio Diez in the Liga MX on Sunday 18 October (02:00 WAT) to face Toluca. Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Atletico San Luis sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Toluca's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Atletico San Luis's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Santos Laguna 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Toluca 1–1 Atletico San Luis.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Toluca and 1.1 for Atletico San Luis. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca 65%, draw 17%, Atletico San Luis 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Toluca 2–1 Atletico San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca65%fair 1.53 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @5.00
Atletico San Luis17%fair 5.80 · @7.00
3.41Expected goals
2.32Toluca xG
1.09Atletico San Luis xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Toluca 2.3 – 1.1 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers Toluca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atletico San Luis 17%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is Toluca 2–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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