Leon travel to Estadio Cuauhtémoc in the Liga MX on Saturday 10 October (02:00 WAT) to face Puebla.
Form guide
Puebla's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Leon's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat FC Juarez 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Leon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Puebla 0–1 Leon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Puebla and 1.3 for Leon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puebla 33%, draw 22%, Leon 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Puebla 1–1 Leon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Leon44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.40Expected goals
1.08Puebla xG
1.32Leon xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Puebla 1.1 – 1.3 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Puebla vs Leon?
On our numbers Puebla have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leon 44%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Leon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Leon?
Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Puebla vs Leon?
Puebla vs Leon (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
