U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultU.N.A.M. - Pumas to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceU.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.42
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX sees U.N.A.M. - Pumas take on Atletico San Luis on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olímpico Universitario. U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico San Luis sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
U.N.A.M. - Pumas's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Atlas 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico San Luis's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Necaxa 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Atletico San Luis 0–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.0 for Atletico San Luis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 58%, draw 25%, Atletico San Luis 18%.
Safer route: U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 Atletico San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Atletico San Luis18%fair 5.68 · @3.30
2.89Expected goals
1.91U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
0.98Atletico San Luis xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.9 – 1.0 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico San Luis 18%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico Universitario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
