Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres UANL to win ✓62% · @1.55
Double chanceTigres UANL or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.60
Tigres UANL vs Puebla preview and prediction
The match
Tigres UANL host Puebla in the Liga MX on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 04:10 (WAT) at Estadio Universitario. Tigres UANL are 15th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Puebla sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tigres UANL's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to FC Juarez 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Puebla's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Atlante FC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Puebla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Puebla 3–1 Tigres UANL.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Tigres UANL and 0.7 for Puebla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Tigres UANL to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres UANL62%fair 1.62 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.80
Puebla14%fair 7.16 · @4.75
2.44Expected goals
1.74Tigres UANL xG
0.70Puebla xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.7 – 0.7 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tigres UANL to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puebla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Puebla?
Tigres UANL vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
