Value bet: Atlas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Club Tijuana vs Atlas preview and prediction
The match
Atlas travel to Estadio Caliente in the Liga MX on Saturday 26 September (04:00 WAT) to face Club Tijuana. Club Tijuana are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atlas sit 5th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Club Tijuana's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with CF Pachuca 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Atlas's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Atlas 2–1 Club Tijuana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Club Tijuana and 1.2 for Atlas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Tijuana 48%, draw 21%, Atlas 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Atlas to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Club Tijuana 1–1 Atlas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Tijuana48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Atlas31%fair 3.21 · @3.60
2.83Expected goals
1.61Club Tijuana xG
1.23Atlas xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.6 – 1.2 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Club Tijuana vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente .
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
