Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Leon vs Monterrey preview and prediction
The match
Leon host Monterrey in the Liga MX on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Leon are 7th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Monterrey sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leon's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Necaxa 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Monterrey's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FC Juarez 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Leon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Monterrey 1–0 Leon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Leon and 1.8 for Monterrey. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leon 31%, draw 20%, Monterrey 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leon 1–1 Monterrey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leon31%fair 3.26 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Monterrey49%fair 2.03 · @2.10
3.20Expected goals
1.38Leon xG
1.82Monterrey xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Leon 1.4 – 1.8 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leon vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Leon have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monterrey 49%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Monterrey?
Leon vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
