Value bet: Club Tijuana to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✓39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.93
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul preview and prediction
The match
Club Tijuana host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX on Monday 17 August, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Caliente. Club Tijuana are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Cruz Azul sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Club Tijuana's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Portland Timbers 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cruz Azul's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Chicago Fire 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cruz Azul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Cruz Azul 1–1 Club Tijuana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Club Tijuana and 1.4 for Cruz Azul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Tijuana 39%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Club Tijuana to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Club Tijuana 1–1 Cruz Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Tijuana39%fair 2.60 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Cruz Azul38%fair 2.60 · @2.32
2.87Expected goals
1.44Club Tijuana xG
1.43Cruz Azul xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.4 – 1.4 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 38%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
