Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Guadalajara Chivas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.52 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.52Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓68% · @1.52
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓90% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and prediction
The match
Guadalajara Chivas travel to Estadio TSM Corona in the Liga MX on Monday 17 August (02:10 WAT) to face Santos Laguna. Santos Laguna are 6th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Guadalajara Chivas sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Santos Laguna's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Philadelphia Union 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Seattle Sounders 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Guadalajara Chivas 3–0 Santos Laguna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Santos Laguna and 2.0 for Guadalajara Chivas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (90%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara Chivas to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.52, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santos Laguna 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos Laguna10%fair 9.71 · @5.40
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.40
Guadalajara Chivas68%fair 1.47 · @1.52
2.74Expected goals
0.69Santos Laguna xG
2.05Guadalajara Chivas xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–113%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
0–06%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 0.7 – 2.0 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guadalajara Chivas 68%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 0–2 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
